Mind the Gap
An update on the vanishing gap in superdelegate endorsements between HRC and BHO.
When we last checked in (data through April 2), the superdel endorsement gap had fallen to 33. Since then Barack is up another 10 endorsements, and Hillary is net +2, so the gap has shrunk by 8, and now stands at 25.
In the chart, the exponential trend line show HRC holding on to a 10 Superdel endorsement lead after the last primaries. The linear trend shows the gap vanishing around May 21st. and a third order polynomial trend (which I include for no other reason than I love the result) shows the gap vanishing by the end of April.
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My grandfather rose to the third order when he served in the Polynomials during the Spanish American War, so I’m going with that version too.
Comment by Al — April 16, 2008 @ 9:33 pm
Incredible!
Just got back form London where the automated voice on the subway constantly announce “Mind the Gap” so we were joking about that the rest of the trip and suddenly, upon our return, your headline!
BTW, there’s only way the numbers are going to add up for the Democrats this time. Clinton/Obama 08!
Also, comments should be in italics so I can go right to what I said.
Comment by mike — April 23, 2008 @ 7:22 am